Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 385.395275 438.194440 497.054322 567.800555 650.873288 745.745567 862.892679
2025-09-21 305.726526 374.080813 457.316599 567.193908 710.005205 891.527886 1143.254687
2025-09-28 253.215885 324.080726 415.232351 542.950908 720.319987 962.543947 1326.543301
2025-10-05 232.113992 308.832388 412.335821 565.236564 790.682174 1119.653369 1653.062304
2025-10-12 217.262475 298.922925 413.764080 591.533311 868.150953 1297.073351 2043.982931
2025-10-19 199.208926 281.758485 401.919481 595.385733 910.599246 1425.855288 2381.747159
2025-10-26 179.888359 260.314440 380.791062 581.298704 921.056548 1502.393244 2642.812135
2025-11-02 164.637920 243.263132 364.179315 571.685655 936.459758 1588.250009 2937.690110
2025-11-09 156.841060 236.820479 363.245929 587.346319 997.050085 1764.282431 3449.891160
2025-11-16 146.239421 224.836487 351.968125 583.571729 1021.422054 1875.339345 3852.093043
2025-11-23 136.201986 212.840134 339.411097 575.822869 1036.775195 1970.417605 4241.416090
2025-11-30 128.990918 204.887421 332.888294 578.105048 1071.581594 2111.058219 4774.687045
2025-12-07 119.866679 193.173607 319.138988 566.010892 1077.259020 2193.561632 5196.168687
2025-12-14 113.196002 185.197897 311.361916 564.621661 1105.311744 2332.356567 5812.167888
2025-12-21 104.038027 172.129050 293.185966 540.591926 1081.053621 2344.180146 6075.844262
2025-12-28 101.876846 171.377892 297.647373 562.752164 1162.373345 2628.306409 7243.676431
2026-01-04 100.287721 171.507097 303.719454 588.911825 1257.135081 2968.203717 8727.262021
2026-01-11 96.168632 166.605724 299.609566 592.743779 1299.297183 3177.856678 9859.785240
2026-01-18 90.426032 158.232015 287.967266 578.731023 1295.331555 3258.315324 10558.293255
2026-01-25 85.616328 151.327838 278.735795 569.168451 1301.352913 3369.488909 11425.585265
2026-02-01 83.680675 149.856861 280.414104 584.746799 1375.384239 3702.380449 13358.484454
2026-02-08 80.021987 144.743472 274.138790 580.992088 1396.983430 3877.306369 14702.163995
2026-02-15 76.265371 139.198263 266.540288 573.283961 1406.589413 4016.167257 15956.992494